Entries in Iran (4)
A Nuclear Iran Could Attack U.S., Warns Israel
December 17, 2008 in
Intelligence The Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak warned the U.S. that allowing Iran to go nuclear could have the worst consequences on the United States. With Russian assistance, a nuclear Iran now seems almost certain:
“If it built even a primitive nuclear weapon like the type that destroyed Hiroshima, Iran would not hesitate to load it on a ship, arm it with a detonator operated by GPS and sail it into a vital port on the east coast of North America,” Mr Barak told a conference of the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Indicating the possibility of an Israeli military strike on Iran, Mr Barak said: “We are not taking any option off the table, and we recommend to the world not to take any option off the table, and we mean what we say.”
Israel: Iran could attack US with nuclear bomb, London Telegraph
Iran's Small Boats Pack a Punch
January 20, 2008 in
Intelligence David Crist writes in today’s NY Times that Iran’s small boats are actually a big problem that we’ve known about for years.

In December, the Whidbey Island, a Navy dock-landing ship, fired warning shots at small Iranian craft that came too close. Three days later the frigate Carr was forced to use its ship’s horn to ward off three Iranian small boats, two of which were armed, according to Navy spokesmen. While these incidents may not seem alarming to those who’ve never served on a potentially vulnerable modern warship, they fit into a worrisome pattern, a two-decade-old military strategy by Iran intended to counter the United States presence in the Persian Gulf.
Iran’s Small Boats Are a Big Problem, David Crist, NY Times
Misreading the Iran Report
December 12, 2007 in
Intelligence Why Spying and Policymaking Don’t Mix
The extraordinary spectacle of the president’s national security adviser obliged to defend the president’s Iran policy against a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) raises two core issues: How are we now to judge the nuclear threat posed by Iran? How are we to judge the intelligence community’s relationship with the White House and the rest of the government?
Continue Reading: Misreading the Iran Report, Henry A. Kissinger
American Intelligence
December 12, 2007 in
Intelligence The citizens of the free world have nothing to worry any more — America’s spy masters have recovered their missing crystal ball. No fewer than 16 U.S. intelligence agencies have just told us that the Iranian nuclear program really is not so dangerous. According to the National Intelligence Estimate, Tehran has, for reasons yet to be explained, supposedly stopped the military plank of its atomic research. Before rolling out the peace banners, though, it’s worth looking at the agencies’ track record in getting these sorts of “estimates” right…
Continue Reading: American Intelligence, Claude Moniquet, WSJ



